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Research Report

US Grocery Markdown Data Scraping 2026: Food-Waste & Clearance-Pricing Patterns

How deep grocery markdowns run as expiry nears, and how clearance clears stock - measured through grocery markdown data scraping of publicly available perishable pricing.

Food waste is a timing problem: mark perishables down at the right moment and they sell; too late and they spoil. Understanding the market's markdown behavior means grocery markdown data scraping of publicly available clearance pricing.

This report uses web scraping of competitor perishable pricing to measure how deep markdowns run as expiry approaches and how discount depth translates into clearance - the market context an AI food-waste model needs alongside internal inventory. It is built for teams using perishable price scraping or a markdown data feed.

Key findings at a glance

Three patterns stand out across the markdown data. (Figures are illustrative previews - the full report breaks them down by category and days-to-expiry.)

50%
typical markdown one day from expiry
Perishables
the categories where timing matters most
Daily
markdown windows, often in the evening
Illustrative figures — replace with your final dataset before publishing
Average markdown depth, by days to expiry 1 day 50% 2 days 30% 3 days 15% 4+ days 8% Illustrative - average discount depth as expiry approaches.
Markdowns deepen sharply in the final day before expiry - the classic clearance curve. Illustrative preview.

Key finding 1: the markdown curve steepens near expiry

Discount depth follows a predictable curve - shallow several days out, steep on the final day. This clearance curve is a strong prior for any markdown model, especially for items with no history of their own.

Grocery markdown data scraping across many stores and days is what turns noisy, store-specific clearance signals into a reliable curve by category and days-to-expiry.

Key finding 2: clearance rate rises with depth

Deeper markdowns clear more stock - but the relationship varies by category, which is exactly what a markdown model needs. The sample shows depth versus clearance (illustrative).

Category Days to expiry Avg depth Clearance rate
Fresh produce 1 50% 91%
Bakery 1 40% 85%
Dairy 2 30% 78%
Meat 1 45% 88%

These depth-to-clearance relationships let a markdown model recommend the discount that clears stock while protecting the most margin.

Clearance rate at deepest markdown, by category Fresh produce 91% Meat 88% Bakery 85% Dairy 78% Illustrative - share of stock cleared at the deepest markdown.
Deep final-day markdowns clear most perishable stock, but the rate varies by category. Illustrative preview.

Key finding 3: competitive context sharpens markdown timing

A retailer's own inventory clock is only half the picture. If competitors are already discounting a category hard, a shallow markdown won't clear stock; if the market is firm, a gentler one suffices. Grocery markdown data scraping supplies the competitive half - what nearby stores charge and how deep they mark down - that internal systems can't see, letting an AI time and size markdowns in a market-aware way.

What the underlying data looks like

The report is built from competitor markdown records like the one below - the structure buyers receive in a sample.


{
  "retailer": "Competitor Market",
  "zip_code": "48044",
  "product": "Organic Strawberries, 1 lb",
  "category": "fresh_produce",
  "regular_price": 4.99,
  "current_price": 2.99,
  "markdown_flag": true,
  "markdown_depth_pct": 40.1,
  "days_to_expiry_est": 2,
  "captured_at": "2026-06-29T18:00:00Z"
}

                

Aggregated to a category-and-expiry view, the data rolls up into a flat file analysts can model on:


category,days_to_expiry,avg_markdown_depth,clearance_rate
fresh_produce,3,15%,0.55
fresh_produce,2,30%,0.78
fresh_produce,1,50%,0.91
bakery,1,40%,0.85

                

Who this report is for

This report is built for the teams fighting food waste and pricing perishables, who rely on grocery markdown data scraping.

You will get the most from it if you are in:
Grocery retailers & supermarkets
Quick-commerce & convenience
Food-tech & retail-tech startups
Suppliers & distributors
Sustainability / ESG teams
Pricing & category analysts
What is inside the full report
  • Markdown curves by category & days-to-expiry
  • Depth-to-clearance relationships
  • Competitive markdown context
  • Demand-forecast & replenishment linkage
  • Complete methodology, sample size and sources

Methodology & data

The findings are based on grocery markdown data scraping of publicly available perishable pricing across US retailers in 2026, capturing regular vs current price, markdown depth, and observed clearance signals, aggregated by category and days-to-expiry. No personal data is involved. The full report details the categories, method and how each metric is calculated.

A note on the figures

The numbers and charts shown on this page are illustrative previews of the kind of analysis in the report. They are based on publicly available, non-personal web data in aggregate and do not represent any single named company. The full report contains the complete dataset, methodology and sources.

Frequently asked questions

Yes. Enter your details and we will email you the PDF.

Through grocery markdown data scraping of publicly available perishable pricing - regular vs current price and observed markdown depth.

They are illustrative previews of the report's analysis. The full PDF contains the complete dataset, methodology and sources.

No - that's your internal data. We provide the external competitor pricing and markdown context to join to it.

Yes. We deliver competitor perishable pricing and markdown signals for your categories and markets via API or file.

Want competitor markdown data for your categories?

Tell us your categories and markets and we will return a validated perishable-pricing sample within one business day.

Request sample data → All reports